Many people like to think they can predict the future, but only futurists (and psychics) get paid to do it.

And futurist Lars Thomsen thinks that electric cars are such a disruptive technology that they will make gasoline cars obsolete–starting in 2016, or much earlier than most other analysts suggest.

Tesla may well be the tipping point, he says, showing that a radically new model is not only possible, but something that buyers will eagerly embrace.

Thomsen delivered a speech this past September, at the 25th International AVL Conference “Engine & Environment” in Graz, Austria, that’s contained in the clip above.

It’s also in German, which may make the 36-minute-long video a bit impenetrable for non-German speakers.

But Thomsen suggests that electric cars are a sufficiently disruptive technology that they will lead to quick behavior changes by …

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